Kansas City at Cincinnati Free Pick of the Day

Kansas City at Cincinnati Free Pick of the Day

Sunday afternoon has a savory course to our banquet of NFL betting.  1-2 Kansas City comes calling to Cincinnati.  The Chiefs pride themselves on a potent defense but have not faced the vertical aspect tht Dalton has been dealing out this year.  With a point spread hovering around -3 1/2 for the home team, can the Bengals cover for our cash of the day for 10/4?

Third Downs are the Key

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Third down prowess will have a lot to do in determining the winner in this one.  For all the post season criticism that Dalton endures, he comes through in the regular season clutch.  On third downs, his passer rating is a gaudy 123.5.  The offense gets him in good spots and he certainly takes advantage of it.  On the opposite end of the spectrum, Kansas City can not sustain drives this season.  Even with their power running game, Alex Smith does not have the respect of the defense to throw down the field.  Without this vertical aspect, they are down to a 16.7 percent conversion rate.  An NFL low on offense, this is one of the key reasons the Chiefs are perceived as to be giving away games.

Passing Free Roll

One can stretch the defense while the other shrinks the field.  Did you know that AJ Green has more yards (335) than all the Chief’s (333) wide receivers as a whole.  Part of it has to do with the offensive lines and how much their QB’s hold the ball.  KC has given up thirteen sacks this season while Dalton has been planted the same thirteen times but in ten games.  All of this gives the Bengals a rank of second in the league on offense gaining 414 yards per game.  Only New England is better.

Had this been in Kansas City then the game could have been slowed to a crawl.  Alas Ohio is our venue and the line of -3 1/2 is not even close in this one.  KC has little in a type of scrambling offense.  They get down and they stay down.  The Bengals can fling it to all corners of the Earth.  Easiest game on the 1PM board.  Take the Bengals for your profit this Sunday afternoon.

 

NFL Betting : Morning, Noon, and Night 10/4 Pt. I

NFL Betting : Morning, Noon, and Night 10/4 Pt. I

NFL Betting from HRWager urges you to remember the early morning game in London.  NY Jets and the Dolphins provide a nibble at the feast for Sunday.  Which way will we go with this one?  Also on the menu are the Raiders at Chicago.  So sit back and prepare to profit from all the sports investment opportunities this Sunday, 10/4.

NFL Betting

London Calling

Miami has the experience in these type of games.  Last year, this team was in a similar circumstance after a string of early disappointments but they came back in a big way to pound Oakland.  This year at 1-2, defensive issues are at the front and center of the team.  Where the Lions miss Suh’s individuality, the Dolphins coaching staff is having a hard time adapting to it  With so much invested, they are going to have to tweak their defense to highlight him instead of forcing him into a situation where he is not productive.  Still with all this dysfunction, there are the better team compared to the Jets.  Take the point or point and a half that you can get on Miami and cash this one in.  Remember this is an early nine AM game so get those bets in now.

Oakland at Chicago 1PM (-3 Raiders / 44 1/2)

  1. They can beat the bad teams and get battered by the good ones.  This is the state of football in Oakland and it is a marked improvement over where they have been.  They have star power in Derek Carr, Amari Cooper, and Khalili Mack.  This gives them an offense in the top five in the league.
  2. Chicago has tanked in the team categories this year.  32nd in points allowed with an awful 31st in points scored has them looking for new pieces already.  Clausen could not infuse life in this offense.

Disregard the potential of a trap game.  Chicago might not get into the win column until they face Detroit.  Easy pickings for a team that is clearly on the upswing.  Can the Raiders take the west?  No but until they get to that level, they will feast on those that are in the lower half of the league.  Raiders minus three as the road favorite is still a good wager to unload on.

Whom would have ever thought that Oakland on the road would be the prudent investment of the week.  Miami on the road for the appetizer will get it all down good  Stay tuned to HRWager tomorrow as we provide the entree and dessert for your NFL Sunday feast.