NFL Free Pick : Pittsburgh at Cleveland 1/3

NFL Free Pick : Pittsburgh at Cleveland 1/3

Finally our NFL Free Pick’s get to factor in potential bad weather.  Unseasonable weather has been circulating around most of the United States.  Winter has not had its customary bite but may now as 2016 is upon us.  We take our attention north as the Steelers have to win and pray to get into the AFC wild card slot.  Meanwhile, the Browns has one final audition not only for Johnny but their head coach.  Do their team mates show up one last time or has 2016 seen them dreaming of the golf courses already?

Browns State of Mind

NFL Free Pick

Cold but not frigid will be Cleveland for their last regular season game.  Low thirties with near 20 percent chance of rain/sleet at game time.  Kicking will be a little haphazard but the rest of the field should be in good shape.  How much of a mess is this franchise?  NBCsports and other outlets are examining the “timing” of Manziel’s self reported concussion.  Another party video surfaced with comments from the organization saying they will address it this week.  In walks Johnny complaining of symptoms that are akin to a concussion.  With all the controversy around head injuries, it would be bad form for the orgainization to do anything but take him out of the lineup to end 2015.  Another reboot is in store with Cleveland player’s other than QB Austin Davis not really giving a good effort.

Choke Job

Two things cost the Steelers at the Ravens.  Their defense is their weakness.  That coupled with Harbaugh getting his squad way up for that game resulted in Pitt’s demise.  This week they do not have to worry about it.  Yes, the Steelers are a hated rival but its the last game.  Browns have little professional pride at this point and want their coach gone.  Steelers have to adopt a score all the time mindset so do not look for them to take the petal off the floor in this one.

Opened at -10 for the Steelers and the line is bouncing up a little.  This is either a pass or the Steelers.  Situation is too good for a blowout.  Weather will not be offensively limiting.  HRWager’s NFL Free Pick for 1/2 is Pitt minus the points.  Good fortune and we will see you tomorrow here at the HRW.


Public Crushes New Year’s Day Bowl Games

Public Crushes New Year’s Day Bowl Games

One side of the fence had it right but not by the degree hoped for.  Rankings did not determine the true power of a team for the first day of 2016.  Iowa was higher ranked and never had a sniff at the Rose Bowl.  Instead, the linesmakers were correct across the board in dubbing which teams triumphed to start 2016.  Alas for them and good for us that the degree of separation between teams was under estimated.  Let us look at how the public triumphed to start 2016 and where it should continue as January marches on.

Profitable at Least

College Football Free Pick

Secretly, we want to cover all our wagers in last minute fashion.  It imparts entertainment, adrenaline, and profit all with a tidy bow.  If we can not have that, then make our bets so convincing that we can toast to our success from halftime on.  This is how 2016 started out in college football.  The winners scored in the forty point range with their defenses restraining the competition.  Result is five favorite covers is easy fashion.  Ohio State was probably the closest thing to a game because of the boredom back door potential cover.  Level of dominance is hopefully a trend fans can continue to cash in on today.

Cactus Bowl

Two teams from struggling conferences that did not do well in them clash to close out the second of Jan.  Arizona State (6-6) was in a lot of their games all the way to the fourth quarter but could not prevent big plays from occurring.  West Virginia (7-5) had four losses to the top 25 but are in the Big 12.  The conference that flopped the hardest of the power five.  Linesmakers and the money actually clashed in this one. ASU opened as a minor – 1 1/2 point favorite only to see WVU take it all the way to – 2 1/2 on the Mountaineers.  Line movement is correct on this one.  WVU has a under six foot receiver that has been torching defense all year long.  Arizona State has  defense that has allowed a lot of plays over twenty yards.  Combination results in WVU have a tangible advantage here.

Keep ringing in the New Year and go with WVU minus the points in the Cactus Bowl.  Lots of action today, so grab that cup of coffee and search for leftovers on the party platter.  Still plenty of value there and in the bowl games today.  Come back later to the HRW Blog for NFL Free Picks later today. Good fortune and we will see you later here at HRWager.