College Basketball Tip : #7 NC at #3 Virginia 2/27

College Basketball Tip : #7 NC at #3 Virginia 2/27

College basketball tip

Our College basketball tip focuses on the biggest game on Saturday.  North Carolina visits Virigina with not only ACC but national implications in the mix.  The home team is getting a monster – 8 1/2 point spread in this game.  What makes the Tar Heels such a pronounced dog in this one?  Join us at HRWager as we look to both build our bankrolls as well as be highly entertained on Saturday the 27th.

 

College Basketball Tip : Case for Virginia 

Won eight of their last ten with two razor thin losses on the road to quality teams.  Now this team starts with the presumed ACC Player of the Year.  Malcolm Brogdon is a fifth year senior that can score anywhere.  Close to twenty points per with over 40 percent from the three point line.  He nails over 87 percent from the free throw line as well.  Tough out for Carolina to contend with.  This is good because other potent options have not been pouring it in as of late.  London Perrantes and Anthony Gill usually get double digits but have been below that level in all but one of the last four games.

Tempo

Virginia will crawl with the ball with their trench mentality.  Under 62 possessions a game is last in the nation.  So this 8 1/2 point spread is really optimistic in the face of this.  Carolina can go up tempo with over 72 possessions a game.  The main vulnerability for NC if they ramp it up is their three point defense.  It is their Achilles Heel with foes getting 36.7 percent of their shots home from their distance.  Balanced scoring is the name of the game with the Tar Heels with five players in double digits.  For all this punch, NC does not shoot the three well.

Balanced scoring should get a lot of the chokehold loosened from the Virginia defense.  This should be a tight game with the slower pace making an 8 1/2 point cover very difficult.  Most of the math points towards a Carolina cover.  Our sports investment is + 8 1/2 for NC.  Good fortune and we will see you next time here at the HRW.

 

NHL Free Pick : Oilers at Ducks 2/26

NHL Free Pick : Oilers at Ducks 2/26

Age old question is at the crux of our NHL Free Pick for 2/26.  How many times out of left field can a young team loaded with talent derail a team that they normally should not?  This is the case as the Ducks have been on a red hot streak of 20-4-2.  With the Oilers going nowhere this season, what are the chances they can convert a +220 road ML into your pocket?  Welcome to HRWager as we examine if the Oilers are of value tonight or will the Kings continue to cash!

NHL Free Pick : Stay the Course

NHL Free Pick

Do not panic is a difficult stance to take when fans are clamoring for change.  The Ducks were horrid for the first two months but the general manager believed in the system with his players.  Patience rewarded with this streak.  Besides talent and goal tending, acceptance of roles is what keeps a team chugging along.  Egos have been non factor as chemistry is really good on this team.  Barring an injury to the goal tender, this team’s wagerability concerns are more for the post season and finding a higher gear.

Back to Back

Here is where the art of handicapping comes in.  Young team on the tail end of a back to back on the road in sunny California.  What is really despondent is that the Oilers let a goal lead in the third slip away for the loss in LA?  That was there best chance for the win in this string of games.  Now young players flush with cash get to spend it.  Normal temptation and another reason to not embrace the Oilers tonight.  Limited offense against the Ducks’ stifling defense is not an ideal recipe for Edmonton fans these days.

Puck line is – 1 1/2 at +115 compared to a -250’s line for the Ducks.  Two approaches.  For those that do not like the temporal nature of pucklines and late scoring opportunities, the Ducks ML in a parlay is your approach.  Otherwise the puckline is a flip of the coin that has some micro value on the Ducks.  Good fortune this evening but go with the Ducks ML parlay component for your bankroll this evening.