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Wichita State vs Vanderbilt First Four Free Pick 3/15

Wichita State vs Vanderbilt First Four Free Pick 3/15

Once the brackets were announced, this battle of #11 seeds is our First Four Free Pick for March 15th.  The 9PM start represents two of the best teams that were on the bubble.  Criticism has been heavy on the committee for barring entry of many of the mid major teams. These two have a chance to make it right with a win here and one against Arizona on Thursday.  The Shockers are -3 1/2 point favorites but are they the ATS moneymaker of the evening?

First Four Free Pick : KenPom Shocker

First Four Free Pick 3/15

 

KenPom is a popular method of ranking college basketball teams.  It is quite eyebrow raising that the Shockers are their 12th rated team in the country.  The reason they are so highly ranked is their team defensive abilities.  5th in defensive rebound percentage plus first in all the land for defensive efficiency.  Where the Shockers suffered this year was in outside shooting.  Vandy has not faced a team this talented at man coverage.  Bolstered by their senior back court, the Commodores had better have some ace up their sleeve for this one.

Three Point Orientated

Live and die did Vanderbilt (19-13) go with the three point.  They shot it well at times as well as being above average at defending the perimeter.  It is odd to see that Vandy has two seven footers down low but their height is not equal to their talent.  Wade Baldwin must use his defensive ability to shut down Van Fleet of Wichita State.  He shut down Tyler Ellis (5-20 from the field) but Nick Van Fleet has the poise and talent to not be styimed like the Kentucky player was at the hands of Ellis.

This is your typical experience of Wichita State against the talent of Vanderbilt.  Sadly, the Commodores did not rise to the occasion much in the SEC regular season.  The entry into the First Four was a gift for Vandy.  So is the – 3 1/2 on the Shockers.  Wichita State is not phased tonight and wins by nearly ten here.  Good luck in your Shocker investment and we will see you later on today here at the HRW.

 

NHL Free Pick : Detroit at Philadelphia 3/15

NHL Free Pick : Detroit at Philadelphia 3/15

Profit is first and foremost with HRWager’s NHL Free Pick.  While the initial outpouring is for college basketball on Tuesday, this hockey matchup features a polarizing wagering angle.  We have the Detroit Red Wings skating into Philadelphia for an early 7PM start on 3/15.  The ML is -130 on the home town Flyers.  Are they this strong or will the winds of profit blow away from the City of Brotherly Love Tuesday night?

NHL Free Pick : Dominate Home

NHL Free Pick

Flyers have a chance to really narrow the gap for the final wild card spot against the team that currently holds it.  Linesmakers are favoring the Flyers in no small part due to their dominance over Detroit at home. Last ten games against the Winged Wheel has seen the Flyers have a 44-17 scoring advantage that has resulted in ten straight wins against Detroit.Not only that but the rest of the league is faring little better against Phille.  6-1-1 in their last eight is just the push they needed at this time.  In particular, Claude Giroux has torn them up and did so in the Flyers only game against the Red Wings this year.

How is it This Close?

Well it certainly is not because of momentum.  2-6-2 in the last ten on the road.  How bad is it?  They lost 1-0 against Toronto.  Mrazek is appearing to get over that groin injury at last so this is a silver lining to the black clouds gathering in the motor city.  Because of him, the penalty killing has improved as of late.  However, if they can not generate decent puck control then this will be a long evening for Detroit.

Easy profit here.  Normally we look for the puckline for value, but the -130 ML here is too good to be true.  The Flyers are so much better than Detroit is in this one particular situation.  Look for the futility of Detroit to continue on the road.  Philadelphia ML is your NHL Free Pick of the Day.  Good fortune and we will see you next time here at the HRW.