Mariners-Royals Money Maker for July 8th

Mariners-Royals Money Maker for July 8th

Mariners-Royals

Movement on the Mariners-Royals has been plenty even though it has resulted in the current line being right at where it started.  Good Morning and welcome back to HRWager.  Tonight we see a Seattle game in which KC got the early sharp action only to see a correction to right back at the -105/-105 ML opener.  The total of the game has inched upward from 8 to the 8 1/2 level.  So which team will benefit from an environment where more offense is projected.  Let us see for this Friday, July 8th game that starts at 8:15PM EST!

Mariners-Royals : Runs Galore?

Continuing on our summer theme of starting pitching and momentum, both sides have their hurlers tonight leaking runs coming into this one.  Let us look at to what extent they have been ravaged in their last three games.

  1. Ventura KC 1.4oWHIP with a 10:3 (k to BB) resulted in a 6.91 ERA and 1-2 record as of late.
  2. Iwakuma  has a higher WHIP of 1.79 , 10:4 but a lower ERA of 5.71.

This is going to be key until the All-Star break next week.  Rest and restoration might derail their last three starts and their relevancy for the middle of July but for right now it is still in full force.  That is why the persistent wagering on this game has been on the over of the total which stands at 8 1/2.

Salient Points

Both Seattle (43-43) and KC (43-41) are performing slightly under par compared to expectations this season.  In particular, the Mariners are woefully short in the wins department compared to their other stats.  129 home runs is the second best in the majors.  Their pitching staff is top five in the AL in terms of Earned Run Average.  Their defense has screwed the pooch for them.  Too many lapses have resulted in innings that have lead to routs.  Could you believe that this Mariners team has lost nine in a row on the road. Inexcusible considering their talent.

Easy game to peg for this one.  Lots of runs are in the forecast.  Seattle mired in such a losing streak on the road.  Dont look for the situation to correct itself until after the All Star Break.  Over 8 1/2 is the first free pick.  KC ML or even RL is in play considering the Seattle play away from home.  Good fortune in our free picks and we will see you tomorrow here at HRWager.

 

Wimbledon Ladies Final : Williams-Kerber 7/9

Wimbledon Ladies Final : Williams-Kerber 7/9

Wimbledon Ladies Final

Serena marches onto history with her presence in the Wimbledon Ladies Final.  Good Morning and welcome back to HRWager. Yesterday, we saw Serena rout her way into the finals with a 6-2 and 6-0 win over Vesnina. Now she is one step from tying Steffi Graf’s modern Slam record of 22 major titles. In her way is the lady who dispatched her sister in the finals. Does Angelique have the ability and poise to derail Serena on what might be her best surface?

 

Wimbledon Ladies Final : Strength of Service

Kerber’s last two matches have been highlighted by the break of serves.  Halep and her traded back and forth each proving the others arsenal to be inadequate.  The trading of breaks even went on for a while with Venus.  Angelique finally asserted herself enough for a 6-4 and 6-4 win but where does this leave her for Saturday.  Match starts at 9AM EST on July 9th but it features a much different dynamic for the German.  How can she contend with breaking the best serve in the game from Serena?

Odds on Match

Sereana is a -345 ML favorite which will net you a +285 on a successful wager on Kerber.  The most balanced vig wager on the totals for the match is at 21 games with the over getting -120 compared to the under at -110. So the total is projecting either a three set match or a very tightly contested two setter in which one of them reaches the seven game mark.  This is where we will exploit the opening in the odds for a run at profit on Saturday.

Williams serve is so powerful that Kerber will not get all the breaks of serve she has been skating on the last two rounds.  Kerber’s serve is weak enough where Serena can get some return winners.  We like Ms. Willaims to win it but -345 ML is too much chalk to consume just on its own.  Under 21 1/2 games in the total is where we will strike.  We opt for the hook to prevent the push.  Good fortune in the ladies championship that starts at 9am as we project it will be a short path to profit here at HRWager.