Baltimore-Seattle sees the O’s going through a mini dip in power production on the West Coast. Last night saw them only score two runs in a loss to the Mariners. June had everyone hopping on their bandwagon with all the home runs they hit. Now we are into the earliest days of July and the oddsmakers have bailed on them. Tonight at 10 PM sees a game where Baltimore is near a +130 road underdog. Which way where the profit pour in from on this Fourth of July Weekend Free Pick?
Odd combination in the market movement. Baltimore became a slightly larger underdog moving off of an opener of +125. The total has gone up from 8 to 8 1/2. One would have figured the increase in runs would normally benefit the big bats of Baltimore. So what does the pitching matchup say about this? First off Paxton has been getting pounded in his last three starts. 1.77 WHIP with a 5.72 ERA has him leaking runs all over the place. Seven free passes on base does not help matters. So with the Seattle pitcher in a funk, how is Baltimore the underdog?
Wilson has not been sharp but he is not the Titanic that Paxton has been. So where is the advantage for the Mariners? Not the bullpen as they are tired and have been overused as of late. What is more is that Paxton fades by the time he gets into the third time against the lineup. While the total movement upward has been correct, the ML is not.
HRWagers Free Pick for the Fourth of July Weekend is Baltimore ML for July 2nd. Total over 8 1/2 is also pleasant for your pocket. Invest in either or both here. Good fortune and we will see you on Sunday here at the HRW.