Cleveland New York is a pivotal series for the Indians drive to the AL Central title. Great to see you all here again at HRWager. Yankees have had a fire sale and are no hoping to somehow stay in the chase for a wild card slot. Indians may not have gotten Lucroy from the Brewers but they have a three game lead. Cleveland opened up near a +115 road underdog. Where has the market gone and where is the profit for this 7PM start?
Cleveland New York : Pineda Treading Water
Both starters are in good recent form coming into this one. However, we have concerns about Pineda coming into this one. He is flirting with a complete loss of control with eight walks in his last three starts. His 24 strikeouts has helped him only get a 2.84 ERA despite all the free passes. He is walking on an edge and we see the ERA going up before the walks coming down. Tomlin has a 1.06 WHIP but a little unfortunate to have an over three ERA in the same three game span.
Down with the Ship
Yankees are 54-54 and this is the first time in months that they have flirted with going below .500. Tone and effort has gone down since the franchise said that this season is a wash. Those trades for the future are the shrewd long term move but it derails the 2016 edition. 43 times this year the Yankees have scored two or fewer runs. With this limited means of offensive production, the choice is clear.
This is why the overnight sharp action has gotten the Cleveland ML from+115 down to +100. Combine that with Pineda about to implode due to his walking of batters and our free pick speaks for itself. Indians ML on the road is the path to profit today. Good fortune and we will see you next time here at the HRW.