College Football Free Pick : Miami at UConn 10/1

Our college football free pick is based on the old saying of ” Never let them see you sweat.”  Miami players made the stark admission after the FAU game that the high tempo action took some getting used to.  Well they had better hope to achieve a higher level of fitness because the Cincinnati Bearcats run a similar offense.  Can they keep up and cover the six and a half point spot that the Hurricanes have as a road favorite for Thursday evening football on 10/1?


Conflicting Numbers

Plays per game really highlight the contrast between these two teams.  The Bearcats like to hit the eighty plays per game mark with their peek of 100 against Memphis.  Compare that with the average of seventy per game that the Hurricanes do.  Miami coach Al Golden says that his players will handle it in part because of an off season conditioning program.  If it was so good, why did they struggle at times against FAU?

Braxton Berrios = Difference Maker

Offensively Miami will benefit from wide receiver Braxton Berrios coming back.  He has been out since the first game of the year.  He combines productivity with leadership skills that could help them avoid near collapses like the one against Nebraska.


Depth will be tested against the Bearcats but if the Hurricanes survive the first half then they should be fine.  This is because Jamal Carter and Deon Bush are suspended for the first half of this game.  Targeting infractions against Nebraska is the cause of this.

This is where we will strike on the free pick.  A depleted secondary against a team like Cincinnati spells doom.  A point spread of +4 or so in the first half of the game should be pounded on.  Bet the first half and the overall game on the Bearcats in this one with the spread.  Good fortune and we will see you tomorrow here at HRWager.

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