Diamonbacks-Padres MLB Free Pick plus Preview 7/6

• 06 July 2016

 

Playoff pushes might not rely on Diamondbacks-Padres this year but profit can still be plucked for games like these.  Good morning to everyone here at HRWager.  Today we got to the West Coast for some NL West divisional baseball.  Padres (36-48) are the road team and the underdog for this one.  We will see if the faith in the Diamondbacks (38-48) is warranted for this 9:40 PM EST start on the 6th!

Diamondbacks-Padres : Little Sense

Lets look at where the ML opened and has progressed in this one.  Arizona saw the market at -132 and the masses have embraced this line.  Now it is near -140 in this one.  This is very odd because it flies greatly in the face of the starters momentum for each team here.  Let us look at some of the suspect numbers in this one.

1. Rea (SD) WHIP of 1.10 with a 18-7 (K:BB) and a 2.60 ERA for a 2-0 streak in his last three.
2. Miller (Arizona) has been leaking runs with an over 6 ERA.  Walks have not been a concern with only four allowed in his last 18+ innings.

It is not only that but Rea gets good run support when he starts from San Diego.  SO what could the sharps be thinking in this case?

Diamondbacks Home Record

It is not the home record that anyone is hanging their hats on.  Second worse in the majors only to the Braves.  The fans have turned apathetic to the Diamondbacks this summer as well.  Just over 14,000 fans at the park was the lowest figure in the franchises existence.  With the all star break coming up, does anyone really expect Arizona to rally from the despair they seem to be in?

Pour it on in this one.  SD gets you close to +130 just on the ML.  For those that want to push the envelope, go alternate run line for the Padres -1 1/2 for even more profit.  Most of the omens in this one point towards San Diego.  Good fortune in this one and we will see you next time here at the HRW.