Diamondbacks-Giants : ESPN Sunday Night Baseball 7/10


Many moves were made for this Diamondbacks-Giants final game on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball.  July 10th’s 8PM start is the last chance for regular season baseball until Friday.  All-Star game, related events, and two days off will get most their second wind for the remainder of the year.  However, the Giants manager forced the situation with his ace starter to ensure that he will not pitch in the game on Tuesday.  How will this effect our profiteering on this game tonight?


Diamondbacks-Giants : Bochy is the Boss

Bruce Bochy altered his rotation a tad so Madison Bumgarner would have to pitch this game.  SF’s manager reiterated the importance of this regular season game instead of the exhibition All-Star game.  Hopefully, this will not take him out of sorts for this one.  Last three game stats are merely average for the ace as we will see.

  1. 1.02 WHIP with 17 to 3 (k-BB) equates to a 3.38 ERA.
  2. He is not exactly slamming the door on situations like he normally does in this stretch.

All of this gives us an interesting set of dynamics for the odds in this one.  We will look at the big three and see how they are in conflict for this one.

Disharmony in the Odds

When one is facing the prospect of a -225ML on the home team, the other prices are going to lag as well.  The runline of -1 1/2 is well below the -100 price as well.  Total in this stands between 7 and 7 1/2.  All of this has an unreasonable expectation of low scoring on the last day of the first half of the season.  Even though this is a pitcher’s park, these are the type of games where offensive stats are padded.  Defensive effort is going to be below average in this one.  That combined with Madison merely being average of late gives birth to our free pick today.

Over on the total of 7 and even 7 1/2 in this one.  Bradley is going for Arizona and his 1.59 WHIP as of late is elevated by 8 walks in three games.  Far too much opportunity and disinterest in this one to play a tight game.  Loose play propels run production.  Good fortune and we will see you later today here at HRWager.


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