ESPN2 has an interesting dynamic in their 7PM game for 2/10. How quick should RPI catch up to a team that has key cogs returning from the shelf? LSU (15-8) is going through a two game audition for qualification for the NCAA tournament. At South Carolina and hosting Texas A & M gives the Tigers the chance at getting that all important quality win against a Top 25 program. The line had been on the Gamecocks (20-3) as a five point favorite but movement has been swift and mostly in one direction. Which way will the winds of profit blow in from for this high profile game?
At 8-2, LSU is still at the head of the pack in the SEC. It is ironic to think that they need at least one of these next two to bolster a resume of a first place conference team. A brutal non-con schedule with a few upsets does not help the cause of LSU. Here are the keys why LSU’s RPI is too low for who they are right now.
- Horsnby is back from his sports hernia.
- Craig Victor transfered to the team
- Jaylyn Patterson has been back at guard for their last eight games.
This is why the mathematical models that the linesmakers depend on do not work well with LSU right now.
Poor Shooting Team
52.6% a rather shocklingly low number for a South Carolina team to boast as a top shooting percentage from the floor in conference play for three years. Defense and rebounding are what gives SC their top twenty five rating. Their advantage in scoring in the paint is what keeps the Gamecocks winning in league play.
The Georgia loss is what is part of the reason why the -5 on SC is down to – 3 1/2. LSU desperation is another reason for the slide. If South Carolina enforces their will, the game will be low scoring. In under 70 point efforts, LSU is 0-3 for the season. The point projection has LSU in the mid 70’s tonight. Therefore your HRWager Free Pick of the day is LSU ML as the underdog winner in the game of the day. Watch a good game, wager on a winner, and collect all here at the HRW.