Kansas City at Cincinnati Free Pick of the Day

Sunday afternoon has a savory course to our banquet of NFL betting.  1-2 Kansas City comes calling to Cincinnati.  The Chiefs pride themselves on a potent defense but have not faced the vertical aspect tht Dalton has been dealing out this year.  With a point spread hovering around -3 1/2 for the home team, can the Bengals cover for our cash of the day for 10/4?

Third Downs are the Key


Third down prowess will have a lot to do in determining the winner in this one.  For all the post season criticism that Dalton endures, he comes through in the regular season clutch.  On third downs, his passer rating is a gaudy 123.5.  The offense gets him in good spots and he certainly takes advantage of it.  On the opposite end of the spectrum, Kansas City can not sustain drives this season.  Even with their power running game, Alex Smith does not have the respect of the defense to throw down the field.  Without this vertical aspect, they are down to a 16.7 percent conversion rate.  An NFL low on offense, this is one of the key reasons the Chiefs are perceived as to be giving away games.

Passing Free Roll

One can stretch the defense while the other shrinks the field.  Did you know that AJ Green has more yards (335) than all the Chief’s (333) wide receivers as a whole.  Part of it has to do with the offensive lines and how much their QB’s hold the ball.  KC has given up thirteen sacks this season while Dalton has been planted the same thirteen times but in ten games.  All of this gives the Bengals a rank of second in the league on offense gaining 414 yards per game.  Only New England is better.

Had this been in Kansas City then the game could have been slowed to a crawl.  Alas Ohio is our venue and the line of -3 1/2 is not even close in this one.  KC has little in a type of scrambling offense.  They get down and they stay down.  The Bengals can fling it to all corners of the Earth.  Easiest game on the 1PM board.  Take the Bengals for your profit this Sunday afternoon.


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