NBA Betting : Yeoman’s Work to Perfection Free Pick 11/28


One aspect of NBA Betting that is underestimated is the effect of the back to back on any team.  Not just the ones that like to bang bodies but even the greyhounds that fly across the court.  Golden State is 17-0 and poured it on the Suns to stay that way.  Phoenix was a credible threat but tonight’s opponent not so much.  Sacramento has been making inroads towards respectfulness since DeMarco went nuclear on Coach Karl.  However even with GS on the back to back, the visiting Kings are getting +15 tonight!  Read along with HRWager on why this is too much in this specific NBA betting circumstance.

NBA Betting : Player Movements


No reason to bring DeMarco back for this one.  He missed the Wolves game for a second straight time because of a bad back.  With no realistic shot at this game, Karl will play small with Rudy Gay going to the four spot.  Does this pose matchup problems for Golden State?  Of course not.  In fact, their main goal besides winning is to continue to get Klay back into the fold of things.

Warriors Bad Spot

Not the ideal spot to go for a large ATS cover tonight.  They hit and attempted (34) three pointers last night.  Phoenix did their best to run them in the ground but Golden State is just better than that.  Now the point of concern is the twenty four turnovers they committed.  An increase might be expected from increased number of possessions.  However, the Suns defense is akin to a matador waving the bull by.  Golden State got sloppy and might do so again tonight.

Most of the simulations ran here all got the Kings covering.  Too many angles to work on.  See how Bogut can do against an almost empty front line.  Get Thompson back in the swing of things.  Plod along and protect the perfect streak and get the rest they need.  Funny thing is that Golden State has to play above average from their norm to cover here.  Take the Kings +15 is our Free Pick to Plunder today.  Good fortune and we will see you tomorrow here at the HRW.

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