NCAAM Free Pick :New Mexico State at Wichita State 2/15

A rescheduled game might have been the best thing for New Mexico State.  Back in December, the Aggies could not get out of Texas due to a freak snow storm.  Now after Valentine’s Day will see the two teams tangle with New Mexico State (18-8) riding a nine game winning streak.  The Shockers (18-7) are barely in the Top 25 and seem to be relying on their performances over the past few years instead of what they produce on the court these days.  A -14 1/2 point bulge has been bestowed on the Shockers.  Which way should we invest in tonight’s sports speculation opportunity?

In Conference Problems

NCAAM Free Pick 2/15

35-1 the last few seasons was the state of the Shockers’ dominance in their conference.  Oh how the tide has turned.  Coming into this one, they have lost two out of their last three in the Missouri Valley.  The dip has been directly related to offensive problems.  This was the story as they shot only 30 percent against Northern Iowa in a game where the longest home streak in the nation bit the dust.  It is not even the case of young players hitting a wall.  Their senior stars are having a rough go of it and few can figure out why.

Defensive Power

New Mexico State has been winning due to their defense.  Under 37 percent, they have held their opponents from the floor in the last four games.  They will need this due to the massive difference in turnover margin.  Transition buckets is the vulnerability of the Aggies with their -3.0 turnover rate.  Meanwhile, the Shockers are + 5.1 in this stat.  Both teams will rely on defense but in different ways.  It will be all about tempo tonight.

Out of conference game that is rescheduled.  The spread has NMS at +14 1/2.  There is no incentive for Wichita State to lay the hammer down.  Work on your intangibles and get your senior back court back in shape.  Look for  a business like performance from the better team.  Wichita State wins but take New Mexico State plus the points.  Good fortune and we will see you tomorrow here at HRWager.

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