NCAAM Tip : Harvard at Kansas 12/5

Oh Harvard Where Art Though?  The Cinderella of yesterday is struggling at the every day duties of happily ever after.  How did the Crimson go to 2-5 with a schedule that is not rough?  Now they have to face Kansas on the road with a monster spread.  Rock, Chalk, Jayhawk has rebounded nicely and views this game on Saturday as a chance to learn.  Which way will the winds of profit blow in this game?


NCAAM Free Pick

Normally the Crimson offense is not dynamic but they are taking the team to new heights with inaction.  281st in points is adjusted to an even more laughable 291 in the nation dealing with offensive efficiency.  Do not get fooled with Cinderellas of former years as this one is without glass slipper.  2-5 with no good wins on their record.  Shooting should be the onus with the non power programs and they do hit their threes at a decent clip.  However, they have two aspects in which they self destruct.  Turnovers and oddly enough at the free throw line.  With a talented defensive backcourt, many easy points will be possible for Kansas.

Offensive Rebounding

Here is where the Jayhawks get hurt.  Harvard actually has some height with a 6’10” starter at center compared to the frontline 6’8″ players in Ellis and Traylor.  This is the ideal situation to get some more salt in freshman Cheick Diallo.  The game will not be in doubt so why not see how he adjusts to a team that can be frustrating with their ability to crawl down the court.  Kansas is top twenty in tempo adjusted metrics.  Their proclivity to hit the three is well known but they could get a little streaky in this one due to impatience.

A spread for the hometown Jayhawks has seen early action from -21 1/2 to – 22 1/2.  Kansas has no reason to bury this team.  It behooves them to work on their offensive rebounding and get the Diallo more used to the college game.  All of these aspects give birth to that back door cover.  Take Harvard + 22 1/2 not on ability but that Kansas will be using this as a tune up.  Good fortune on Saturday and we will see you later on here at the HRW.


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