Runline Betting : Twins at Tigers 5/16

How can their be a runline betting alert between two teams that each have gone 2-8 in their last ten?  This is the elephant in the room when we handed down our sports investment recommendation to HRWager this morning?  On the surface, the Twins at the Tigers on May 16th looks like a rag tag game in which neither team should have that large of an advantage.  Alas for Minnesota, Zimmermann is the pitcher you must face tonight.  So let us look at the lines and see how much profit we can extract from this situation here at the HRW!

Runline Betting : How Much?

Runline Betting 5/16

Even before looking at the pitching matchups, one has to look at the prize to see if striving to get it is worthwhile.  Odd action for this one.  A -168 ML has gone down to the -150’s on the Tigers today.  However, those that do like the Tigers went with the runline which has actually contracted from -1 1/2 +130 to +125.  We adore polarizing situations like these.  First off, the pitching matchup makes it so.  Our 0.00 ERA man, Jordan Zimmermann, could not keep up the pace.  Let us see where he is at now as the season is through mid May.

Jordan’s Stats

An ERA up to 1.50 with a FIP of 3.42 means he is still working himself out of jams.  The only item of real concern is that his percentage of walks this year is higher than the last two.  Also in the last three games, his WHIP is over 1.000.  He has no wins in May so far.  Thank goodness he gets a Twins franchise he dominates.  2-0 with a sub one ERA getting 15 strikeouts in 14 innings.  All of this value plus he goes against a rookie tonight.  Are the Tigers that offensively inept to not be able to score four or more runs tonight?

They are back home in Detroit after a 2-5 road trip.  Top two hitters for average in the league.  Power in the middle of the lineup.  Rough time for Berrios of Minnesota with his inflated stats during his last three starts.  Easy profit to be had tonight.  – 1 1/2 +125 is our MLB Free Pick of the Day.  Good fortune and we will see you tomorrow here at the HRW.


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